Shipping rate updates are a regular part of annual planning for eCommerce teams. What makes 2026 worth closer attention is not just the headline General Rate Increases, but how carriers are refining the way shipments are assessed.

UPS, FedEx, and USPS are all adjusting base rates by around 6%. But that doesn’t tell the full story. At the same time, UPS and FedEx are placing greater emphasis on cubic volume, actual weight, and delivery location when applying surcharges. For many eCommerce shippers, this increases the importance of accurate packaging data and shipping logic to reduce exposure to carrier rate increases and protect margins.

Below is a summary of the 2026 last-mile carrier updates and what they mean for your bottom line.

How Are Shipping Rates Changing Across Carriers in 2026

Across the major carriers, three themes stand out:

  • Base shipping rates are increasing ~6% through 2026 General Rate Increases
  • More packages will get flagged for oversize and additional handling fees  and are more directly tied to package volume than actual weight
  • Residential, delivery area, and remote surcharges continue to rise and affect a broad share of B2C shipments

Individually, these changes are familiar. Together, they introduce more cost variability if shipments are not rated accurately upfront. For example, when a shipment crosses an oversize threshold, added charges can reach $200 to $300 per package, depending on zone, before base transportation costs are included.

UPS 2026 Shipping Updates

UPS announced a 5.9% average General Rate Increase for U.S. domestic shipping effective December 22, 2025. In addition to base rate changes, UPS is updating how it applies oversize and handling surcharges.

Effective January 26, 2026: Large Package and Additional Handling Updates

Domestic Large Package Surcharge (LPS) applies when a package:

  • Exceeds 17,280 cubic inches in cubic size
  • Exceeds 110 lb in actual weight

Existing dimensional factors, including length and length plus girth, remain in place.

Domestic Additional Handling Charge (AHC) applies when a package:

  • Exceeds 10,368 cubic inches in cubic size

UPS has also updated measurement practices. Fractional inches will round up to the next whole inch, which can affect dimensional weight calculations. Minimum charges have increased as well, which may affect how discounts apply to lower-weight shipments.

Residential and Remote Surcharges

Oversize thresholds get attention, but residential and remote fees are often the more repeatable cost driver because they apply to a broad share of B2C orders.

Key updates include:

  • Residential Surcharge (Ground) increased by roughly 6–7%, placing per-package residential fees in the mid-$6 range
  • Remote Area Surcharge (U.S. 48) increased by roughly 7–8%, with per-package costs now in the mid-teens

For shippers delivering to remote or extended ZIP codes, that translates to around $15 to $17 per package, applied consistently across eligible orders.

UPS also notes that surcharge applicability can shift as ZIP code and zone alignment lists may update over time, which means exposure can change even if shipping volume stays flat. For full definitions and published guidance, refer to UPS’s shipping costs and rates page.

FedEx 2026 Shipping Updates

FedEx announced an average 5.9% rate increase for 2026 across Express, Ground, and Home Delivery services, effective January 5, 2026.

Effective January 12, 2026: New Volume and Weight Triggers

FedEx is adding new volume and weight thresholds to its existing oversize rules.

Additional Handling Surcharge – Dimension applies when:

  • A package exceeds 10,368 cubic inches in cubic volume

Oversize Charge applies when a package:

  • Exceeds 17,280 cubic inches in cubic volume
  • Exceeds 110 lb in actual weight

These criteria apply alongside FedEx’s existing length and girth rules. The oversize charges vary by zone, but for many shipments, they can fall in the mid-$200s to low-$300s per package range, depending on lane and service.

Residential, Delivery Area, and Remote Fees Are Also Increasing

FedEx’s 2026 surcharge updates show continued increases across residential and delivery area fees, particularly for Home Delivery shipments.

  • Residential Delivery Surcharges increased by roughly 8%, pushing per-package fees into the mid-$6 range. At the same time, FedEx Date Certain Home Delivery®, FedEx Evening Home Delivery®, and FedEx Appointment Home Delivery® surcharges will now be applied per package rather than per shipment, effective Jan. 12. This change causes costs to scale more quickly on multi-box residential orders.
  • Delivery Area Surcharges increased by around 6% for both residential and commercial deliveries, affecting a broader share of last-mile shipments.
  • Remote Delivery Area Surcharges increased by 8%, with per-package fees now approaching $17, further amplifying costs for orders shipping to harder-to-reach locations.

USPS 2026 Shipping Updates

USPS rate changes for Shipping Services take effect January 18, 2026. The average rate increase is as follows:

  • Around 7 to 8% for USPS Ground Advantage
  • Around 6 to 7% for Priority Mail
  • Around 5% for Priority Mail Express

USPS pricing is structured differently from UPS and FedEx and does not include fuel or residential surcharges. However, USPS continues to apply nonstandard fees tied to package length and cubic volume, making accurate dimension data important for larger parcels.

Why Accurate Shipping Rates Matter in 2026

As shipping rates rise and pricing leans more heavily on dimensional weight and added fees, shipping accuracy matters more than ever. It’s easier to see where costs come from, but harder to predict them when relying on estimates alone. For shippers, that doesn’t just mean higher rates. It means more variability at a time when margins are already being squeezed by tariffs, returns, labor costs, and fulfillment complexity.

Instead of planning around a single headline increase, ecommerce brands are now managing a growing mix of surcharges tied to how items are packed, how many boxes ship in an order, and where those orders are delivered. This shows up across several key business metrics.

Margin Predictability

When shipping rates at checkout do not reflect how shipments are actually packed and assessed, cost differences surface after invoicing. On oversized shipments, those gaps can be significant, especially as more surcharges are applied per package.

Checkout Conversions

Shipping costs play a direct role in conversion. Rates that are overstated can discourage customers at checkout, while understated rates leave shippers absorbing unexpected oversize or handling fees once orders ship.

Budgeting and Planning

Most teams can plan around a 5–6% headline increase. The bigger challenge is forecasting the mix of surcharges that vary by carton selection, packing behavior, destination type, and package count.

The 2026 carrier updates reinforce a clear reality for shippers. Shipping costs are becoming more precise, more conditional, and more dependent on how orders are actually packed and delivered.

If you need help calculating the impact of these 2026 rate changes, or want to validate whether your checkout rates reflect real carrier assessments, reach out to the ShipperHQ team.

Our shipping experts will help you review your shipping setup and get started in 2026 with accurate, predictable shipping rates.